Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 4.392385 4.720619 5.073741 5.484045 5.950450 6.467493 7.088744
2025-08-24 3.828316 4.271316 4.778557 5.410415 6.188294 7.131337 8.388605
2025-08-31 3.541190 4.052349 4.663405 5.463827 6.510705 7.874449 9.862934
2025-09-07 3.317702 3.869081 4.550103 5.477987 6.752805 8.518348 11.309956
2025-09-14 3.059216 3.612664 4.311386 5.289477 6.680867 8.696363 12.088605
2025-09-21 2.872334 3.429596 4.146944 5.175939 6.687608 8.973031 13.066094
2025-09-28 2.732228 3.295293 4.033178 5.116082 6.756582 9.343269 14.280797
2025-10-05 2.627957 3.200174 3.963076 5.108003 6.896558 9.841335 15.861581
2025-10-12 2.570214 3.162716 3.967679 5.206141 7.209567 10.679861 18.402496
2025-10-19 2.511251 3.119028 3.958818 5.280507 7.489400 11.507675 21.260140
2025-10-26 2.438959 3.052159 3.911207 5.288834 7.655490 12.148403 23.960293
2025-11-02 2.344813 2.949566 3.804882 5.194617 7.629126 12.396333 25.716299
2025-11-09 2.243783 2.835173 3.678548 5.064736 7.535528 12.511641 27.237496
2025-11-16 2.165534 2.750581 3.592999 4.996457 7.550203 12.871921 29.811689
2025-11-23 2.122149 2.714231 3.577863 5.043227 7.786429 13.785539 35.093828
2025-11-30 2.073735 2.668046 3.544588 5.055663 7.956311 14.584764 40.798623
2025-12-07 1.987307 2.562261 3.413628 4.889747 7.749395 14.392110 41.792779
2025-12-14 1.921161 2.484438 3.323251 4.789605 7.668171 14.516993 44.630636
2025-12-21 1.869807 2.426824 3.262021 4.736744 7.679253 14.893523 49.396133
2025-12-28 1.831441 2.387338 3.227720 4.729606 7.786406 15.566720 57.187055
2026-01-04 1.814922 2.380185 3.244641 4.816259 8.108006 16.966492 73.944821
2026-01-11 1.794783 2.366587 3.250175 4.881841 8.391420 18.355983 96.790957
2026-01-18 1.764249 2.335795 3.225903 4.889181 8.540772 19.359922 121.624512